عنوان المقالة: Mathematical modeling for COVID-19 pandemic in Iraq
د.حميد حسام حميد | Hameed Husam Hameed | 5717
نوع النشر
مجلة علمية
المؤلفون بالعربي
المؤلفون بالإنجليزي
Hayder M. Al-Saedi & Hameed Husam Hameed
الملخص الانجليزي
In this paper, we present the SIR pandemic model to evaluate the susceptible (R), infectious (I), and removed (R) for COVID-19 in Iraq for the period from the 22nd February 2020 to the 26th June 2020. We divided this period to three sub-periods, and for each sub-period, the real data has been cited from scientific trusted references to estimate the parameters that are required to solve the system of differential equations for the SIR pandemic model. Furthermore, the estimations are given by our model for the real active infection, recovery rate against case fatality rate, reproduction number R0 and the growth factor of the real accumulation infection have all shown significant similarities between the reported data and the estimations produced by our model.
تاريخ النشر
25/08/2021
الناشر
Journal of Interdisciplinary Mathematics
رقم المجلد
24
رقم العدد
5
ISSN/ISBN
0972-0502
رابط DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/09720502.2021.1923943
الصفحات
1407–1427
رابط الملف
تحميل (0 مرات التحميل)
رابط خارجي
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09720502.2021.1923943
الكلمات المفتاحية
COVID-19 in Iraq, SIR model, Basic reproduction number, Effective contact rate, Removed rate.
رجوع