عنوان المقالة: Mathematical modeling for COVID-19 pandemic in Iraq
د.حميد حسام حميد | Hameed Husam Hameed | 5712
- نوع النشر
- مجلة علمية
- المؤلفون بالعربي
- المؤلفون بالإنجليزي
- Hayder M. Al-Saedi & Hameed Husam Hameed
- الملخص الانجليزي
- In this paper, we present the SIR pandemic model to evaluate the susceptible (R), infectious (I), and removed (R) for COVID-19 in Iraq for the period from the 22nd February 2020 to the 26th June 2020. We divided this period to three sub-periods, and for each sub-period, the real data has been cited from scientific trusted references to estimate the parameters that are required to solve the system of differential equations for the SIR pandemic model. Furthermore, the estimations are given by our model for the real active infection, recovery rate against case fatality rate, reproduction number R0 and the growth factor of the real accumulation infection have all shown significant similarities between the reported data and the estimations produced by our model.
- تاريخ النشر
- 25/08/2021
- الناشر
- Journal of Interdisciplinary Mathematics
- رقم المجلد
- 24
- رقم العدد
- 5
- ISSN/ISBN
- 0972-0502
- رابط DOI
- https://doi.org/10.1080/09720502.2021.1923943
- الصفحات
- 1407–1427
- رابط الملف
- تحميل (0 مرات التحميل)
- رابط خارجي
- https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09720502.2021.1923943
- الكلمات المفتاحية
- COVID-19 in Iraq, SIR model, Basic reproduction number, Effective contact rate, Removed rate.