عنوان المقالة: Mathematical modeling for COVID-19 pandemic in Iraq
د.حميد حسام حميد | Hameed Husam Hameed | 5664
Publication Type
Journal
Arabic Authors
English Authors
Hayder M. Al-Saedi & Hameed Husam Hameed
Abstract
In this paper, we present the SIR pandemic model to evaluate the susceptible (R), infectious (I), and removed (R) for COVID-19 in Iraq for the period from the 22nd February 2020 to the 26th June 2020. We divided this period to three sub-periods, and for each sub-period, the real data has been cited from scientific trusted references to estimate the parameters that are required to solve the system of differential equations for the SIR pandemic model. Furthermore, the estimations are given by our model for the real active infection, recovery rate against case fatality rate, reproduction number R0 and the growth factor of the real accumulation infection have all shown significant similarities between the reported data and the estimations produced by our model.
Publication Date
8/25/2021
Publisher
Journal of Interdisciplinary Mathematics
Volume No
24
Issue No
5
ISSN/ISBN
0972-0502
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1080/09720502.2021.1923943
Pages
1407–1427
File Link
تحميل (0 مرات التحميل)
External Link
https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/09720502.2021.1923943
Keywords
COVID-19 in Iraq, SIR model, Basic reproduction number, Effective contact rate, Removed rate.
رجوع